> the scientists get on TV and into news media and talk about nearly guaranteed outcomes No, "the scientists" don't get on TV. TV selects some scientists who a

> the scientists get on TV and into news media and talk about nearly guaranteed outcomes No, "the scientists" don't get on TV. TV selects some scientists who are willing to dumb things down far enough to be compatible with their business model. If you want to know what "the scientists" say, you have to read their papers and reports, and you might be surprised to find that they are scientists.