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It’s boring to read HN wildly speculate on the crash and trash Boeing as if they know what went wrong. Historically speaking, early speculation has nearly alway
by jquery 8y ago
It’s boring to read HN wildly speculate on the crash and trash Boeing as if they know what went wrong. Historically speaking, early speculation has nearly always been notoriously bad at predicting what went wrong in a given crash scenario. Despite this happening twice it is still a sixth sigma event, there is no reason to think the exact same set of circumstances occurred twice, especially after pilots were well aware of the MCAS system post Lion-air. I’m sure Boeing deserves a large part of the blame in the end, but I’m also sure that unanticipated pilot error is at the nexus of both events. You can’t anticipate every pilot failure mode, and since this wasn’t lost at sea we have the luxury of waiting for the final report. For all we know it wasn’t a design defect, but an improperly maintained sensor, or pilots who failed to look at the logbook. I see people already talking about how “capitalism has failed” and “lets imprison Boeing execs” which sounds more like Chinese astroturfing than good-faith posting. It could even turn out the two events were independent, a statistical analysis across all jets probably shows the likelihood of two planes of the same type crashing within 6 months of each other is more likely than our intuition suggests, because the Pareto distribution applies to every plane type in the entire world.
- dang 8y agoNo doubt many people will turn out to be wrong about this. You simply need to make your points without breaking the site guidelines, as do we all. You've unfortunately broken them again just now. It's explicitly against the guidelines to insinuate that people you disagree with are astroturfers. Would you mind re-reading https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and following them carefully when posting here? We don't need you to change your views, just express them within the limits specified. We have those limits because we're trying to preserve the commons for everyone.
- jquery 8y agoNice to see HN finally has a semi-active moderator. As you can see I’ve taken quite the hiatus from HN because the noise to signal ratio got really bad. I don’t care about downvotes, if I did I wouldn’t post my actual opinions here, I just found it silly that people were trying to bury a comment that wasn’t the standard doom and gloom and ignorance I see around the crash. Interestingly as soon as I edited my post the downvotes stopped and I started getting upvotes so some people found the edit interesting. :thinking emoji: If you care to hear from someone who has been part of this community since early days, too many people are able to vote on comments. They don’t lurk, they are attracted here from a controversial link and stick around, reflexively treating upvotes/downvotes as a disagree/agree button instead of interesting/not-interesting like it used to be. Maybe the eternal September has finally arrived for good, or perhaps I’ve drifted from the core values of your typical HNer while this site stayed the same or drifted in a different direction. Only you would have the traffic and usage stats to know. I’m curious what percent of active HNers have an account created within a standard deviation of mine. -posted from my phone so forgive typos