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The Republican field had daytime and nighttime debates in 15. But that meant that the daytime people only debated with daytime people trying to get a spot on th
by thanatropism 8y ago
The Republican field had daytime and nighttime debates in 15. But that meant that the daytime people only debated with daytime people trying to get a spot on the nighttime. The debates were horribly crowded too.
The best situation would be something like n-fold cross-validation. With 20 candidates you have 1140 possible arrangements for three-way debates. You have what, 40 to 60 weeks to converge on a candidate? Enumerate those 1140 arrangements, pick M integers from a lottery with white balls and hold weekly debates, preferably all over the country.
For any given candidate, his probability of being on any single debate is 14,26% [0]. The probability that he's in at least one of 40 debates is 99,78%. If this happens, give this candidate an extra slot in the very last debate before primaries.
[0] https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1%2F20+%2B+(19%2F20)*(1%2F20)%2B(1%2F20)*(19%2F20)%5E2 https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1%2F20+%2B+(19%2F20)*(...