3 ms·
You're quoting the phrase "seems likely". It's not a conclusion. It's my guess at what's most probable based on what we know today. (Also, I don't agree that
by cjbprime 8y ago
You're quoting the phrase "seems likely". It's not a conclusion. It's my guess at what's most probable based on what we know today.
(Also, I don't agree that we only know "wild speculation" about the Lion Air crash. The investigators have told us much about the proximate cause of the crash, even though their final investigation is not yet complete.)
- lixtra 8y agoMaybe it’s my English. What probability do you assign to “seems likely”? Above 50% (the way I read it)? Or does it mean it’s a possible outcome among many others, all with very low probability?
- cerebellum42 8y agoI would read it the same way, but personally I would want to attach an additional qualifier: It's likely that this is one of the causes. There may or may not be something inherently problematic about the way the MCAS works, but more thorough training would likely have lowered the chance of these accidents happening - having the same type rating was one of the root causes for the lacking training