4 ms·

Going on a 737 MAX plane: X% chance of dying Going on a non-737 MAX plane: Y% chance of dying Given these two accidents, X > Y Why sign up for a higher chanc

Going on a 737 MAX plane: X% chance of dying Going on a non-737 MAX plane: Y% chance of dying Given these two accidents, X > Y Why sign up for a higher chance of dying?

liability 8y ago
If both are very small, then why wouldn't some other factor like minor convenience wash out the minor safety concern? I don't know about you, but I pick my flights by airline, time, and price. I wouldn't degrade any of those for a very small increase in safety.
- stordoff 8y ago
  I believe the point is that we don't _know_ that it's very small (_if_ it's a design flaw, it could be significantly higher), and there are (generally) viable alternatives, so it's needless extra risk
- pmm 8y ago
  Right now the MAX version is at least an order of magnitude less safe than the previous generation (put some rough estimated in another comment)
  - liability 8y ago
    Airliners are exceptionally safe as a general rule. Small GA planes are TWO orders of magnitude less safe. Would you avoid a flight in a single engine prop plane? I wouldn't. While it's a certainty that many people will die in small plane crashes this year, it's still unlikely that the particular plane I'm on will crash. I think this is a classic case of people overreacting to dramatic but unlikely risk. And to be clear, I support grounding the fleet.
cmurf 8y ago
Why drive anywhere you can fly? Driving means always signing up for a higher chance of dying.
tluyben2 8y ago
Showering and then driving to the airport both are have a >> X chance of you dying before you even get on the Max.
AnimalMuppet 8y ago
Is the chance of dying on a 737 Max flight higher than the chance of dying driving to the airport? Have you considered walking instead? That is: If both X and Y are low enough, it's not worth the inconvenience to get Y instead of X.

4 ms·

Going on a 737 MAX plane: X% chance of dying Going on a non-737 MAX plane: Y% chance of dying Given these two accidents, X > Y Why sign up for a higher chanc

by MuffinFlavored 8y ago

Going on a 737 MAX plane: X% chance of dying Going on a non-737 MAX plane: Y% chance of dying Given these two accidents, X > Y Why sign up for a higher chance of dying?

liability 8y ago
If both are very small, then why wouldn't some other factor like minor convenience wash out the minor safety concern? I don't know about you, but I pick my flights by airline, time, and price. I wouldn't degrade any of those for a very small increase in safety.
- stordoff 8y ago
  I believe the point is that we don't _know_ that it's very small (_if_ it's a design flaw, it could be significantly higher), and there are (generally) viable alternatives, so it's needless extra risk
- pmm 8y ago
  Right now the MAX version is at least an order of magnitude less safe than the previous generation (put some rough estimated in another comment)
  - liability 8y ago
    Airliners are exceptionally safe as a general rule. Small GA planes are TWO orders of magnitude less safe. Would you avoid a flight in a single engine prop plane? I wouldn't. While it's a certainty that many people will die in small plane crashes this year, it's still unlikely that the particular plane I'm on will crash. I think this is a classic case of people overreacting to dramatic but unlikely risk. And to be clear, I support grounding the fleet.
cmurf 8y ago
Why drive anywhere you can fly? Driving means always signing up for a higher chance of dying.
tluyben2 8y ago
Showering and then driving to the airport both are have a >> X chance of you dying before you even get on the Max.
AnimalMuppet 8y ago
Is the chance of dying on a 737 Max flight higher than the chance of dying driving to the airport? Have you considered walking instead? That is: If both X and Y are low enough, it's not worth the inconvenience to get Y instead of X.