6 ms·
I propose the Morris equation for the odds of alien life finding us: N = ( R * fp * ne * fl * fi * fc * L ) / ( AI * VR * D * S * M ) Where the Drake equation
by zackmorris 8y ago
I propose the Morris equation for the odds of alien life finding us:
N = ( R * fp * ne * fl * fi * fc * L ) / ( AI * VR * D * S * M )
Where the Drake equation:
N = The number of civilizations in the Milky Way Galaxy who detect our electromagnetic emmissions
R = Average rate of formation of suitable stars (stars/year) in the Milky Way galaxy
fp = Fraction of stars that form planets
ne = Average number of habitable planets per star
fl = Fraction of habitable planets (ne) where life emerges
fi = Fraction of habitable planets with life where intelligent evolves
fc = Fraction of planets with intelligent life capable of interstellar communication
L = Years a civilization remains detectable
Is divided by the karma equation:
AI = Whether or not aliens have merged with artificial intelligence, become their own God and are no longer interested in us (tends towards 1)
VR = Whether or not aliens have virtual reality akin to the movie The Matrix and live in a hedonistic paradise indefinitely (tends towards 1)
D = Number of psychedelic drugs available to aliens that are at least as compelling as actual reality (tends towards infinity)
S = Percentage of aliens that reproduce sexually or are able to spend a lifetime living in their parents' basement pondering aliens (let's just say 50%)
M = Whether or not aliens use money so contact with extraterrestrials is considered too great a risk (somewhere between 0 and 1)
So as with all things, first contact by extraterrestrials is likely dominated by the need to procreate and money.