I had a similar thought the first time I read this a few years back. I mean, I get what the author is trying to say here (e.g. the ball dropping/rolling probabi

I had a similar thought the first time I read this a few years back. I mean, I get what the author is trying to say here (e.g. the ball dropping/rolling probability thing), but it’s just a little more convoluted (ouch) than it needs to be, IMO.