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Reducing that to a number is dangerous. What if it was 100% safe but every hour a random tesla would just blow into pieces. Would you ride it? What if it was 10
by popotamonga 8y ago
Reducing that to a number is dangerous. What if it was 100% safe but every hour a random tesla would just blow into pieces. Would you ride it? What if it was 100 Teslas? What if it was a number just enough to be statistically safer than regular cars?
- sokoloff 8y agoLikewise, failing to consider the overall number at all leaves us prone to discount significant progress that has a scary failure mode. If a system made me and my family 10x safer overall but every failure meant we were all gruesomely decapitated, I’d absolutely take it. Many people would argue strenuously against it.
- julianlam 8y agoYou seem to be conflating absolute risk and relative risk. In the same example, if my odds of getting into a car accident was 1 in 1000, and the Tesla 1 in 10000, I'd drive myself because fender benders and wipeouts are included in that 1 in 1000. If we're talking 1 in 5 to 1 in 50, this changes the calculus significantly.
- sokoloff 8y agoYou seem to be conflating safety ratio with accident ratio. I specifically predicated on "makes me and my family 10x safer overall."