4 ms·
They'd both be pariahs for a considerable amount of time (decades possibly), in fact from a global point of view it might actually be better to not fire back af
by noir_lord 8y ago
They'd both be pariahs for a considerable amount of time (decades possibly), in fact from a global point of view it might actually be better to not fire back after a limited (theatre) level attack, your opponent would destroy any credibility they had entirely.
Just the optics of the US or EU doing business with a country that lobbed a nuke at a democracy (I'm assuming it's Pakistan that fires in this scenario because honestly that is the more likely first strike, India has a firmly stated policy of no first use).
The Pakistani system is considerably more fractured and much less under control with almost parallel systems of government between the military leaders and civilian leaders.
They are pretty much the worst case scenario after NK having nukes and in some ways worse, NK doesn't have an ongoing relationship with religious fundamentalists at every level.
- tomatotomato37 8y agoIt could be interesting to speculate what would happen in response to the fallout drifting over China & southern Russia. I could see both nations start raiding India/Pakistan with conventional forces just out of spite
- writepub 8y agoI don't know about Pakistan, but the Indian military is not a trivial adversary for China/Russia to "raid". Russia also sees no benefit to raiding India, as the two have historically been closely allied. Also, how practical is unprovokedly "raiding" a nuclear power that has shown a willingness to use nukes? Are you assuming the nukes get spent in one conflict? The stockpiles held by either probably suffices multiple wars.