The history-repeating argument, when applied to astronomy: "so far, the Earth has revolved around the Sun". Just to show that the history-repeating argument ca

The history-repeating argument, when applied to astronomy: "so far, the Earth has revolved around the Sun". Just to show that the history-repeating argument can be made ad absurdum both ways. We have ample empirical evidence that drunk driving poses a significant risk of killing someone, hence there should be a non-trival level of expectation of this outcome. We have absolutely zero empirical evidence as to what actions may trigger a nuclear holocaust, and we're currently not seeing any of the popularly accepted causes for the 5 mass extinctions of the past.