I think it ultimately depends on how much ARM/RISC-V's price/performance ends up being better than x86. If it's not much better then people will not switch due

I think it ultimately depends on how much ARM/RISC-V's price/performance ends up being better than x86. If it's not much better then people will not switch due to these small annoyances, and there doesn't seem to be any fundamental reason for it being much better (Intel and AMD are perfectly capable of producing top-performing x86 CPUs, and the architecture should not matter much).