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I like this. I think you have a better interpretation than my initial one. If it is sort of probability based than it can't be right or wrong, just sort of in

I like this. I think you have a better interpretation than my initial one. If it is sort of probability based than it can't be right or wrong, just sort of incomplete until we observe the consequences of the action. More often than not the scout will probably be right, and I can concede that. But that doesn't imply that the soldier will always be wrong either.

dahart 8y ago
> But that doesn't imply that the soldier will always be wrong either. Completely agree! I maybe implied too strongly that soldiers claim to be right against contrary evidence, which isn't what Julia said. Not only are soldiers often right, people often defend their stance and stop looking for the right answer precisely because they are right and know it. The risk is just that sometimes that decision is made prematurely. Personally, I probably revert to soldier when I think I'm being a scout more often than I want to admit.