5 ms·
It would be fascinating to calculate when the dead on Facebook will outnumber the living. Anyone able to interpolate based on the data provided + Facebook's gr
by danshapiro 16y ago
It would be fascinating to calculate when the dead on Facebook will outnumber the living. Anyone able to interpolate based on the data provided + Facebook's growth rate?
- dot 16y agosounds like a movie.. i like how you think.
- alanh 16y agoIf the number active (alive) Facebook users grows at a sufficient exponential rate, e.g. each new generation has at least 2× the users of the last generation, then the answer would be “never” Edit: Um, humans do grow in population in an exponential pattern… how long do you think the population has been at 6.8 billion?
- Psyonic 16y agoLast I checked humans are limited in supply. AI users though...
- eru 16y agoCurrently there are many zero AIs, as far as we know.
- tmorgan 16y agoWell, populations are typically modeled as a sigmoid function, they only appear to be growing exponentially. I think it's fair to assume total population will stabilise whilst we are still resource limited to Earth.
- jules 16y agoIt seems that we are at the inflection point of the sigmoid: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/77/World-Population-1800-2100.png http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/77/World-Pop...
- shasta 16y agoReassuring to see that the UN doesn't predict any large discontinuities in that graph
- j_baker 16y agoThe last estimate I seem to find on the subject said that the population should level off at 10 billion in 2200. Granted, this is from 1999: http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/sixbillion/sixbilpart1.pdf http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/sixbillion/six...
- ImperatorLunae 16y agoHumans do not necessarily reproduce exponentially. Hans Rosling's TED talks feature, as a central theme, that the population can stabilize at 9 billion with the right initiatives and social changes. http://www.ted.com/talks/hans_rosling_on_global_population_growth.html http://www.ted.com/talks/hans_rosling_on_global_population_g...
- alanh 16y agoMy post starts with "If". (I imagine the possibility of a singularity and the consequent interstellar expansions and/or virtual entities.)
- jules 16y agoAccording to world population on wikipedia it seems like more people live now than have died since year 1.
- jonathanbgood 16y agoI read that this is an urban myth and actually only a few percent of the people who have ever lived are alive today.
- jules 16y agoEver lived != lived since year 1. That said I just looked at the table on wikipedia and did some simple calculations. In any case even if more people died since year 1 than are alive today, not many more died. If you take ALL deaths, that does greatly outnumber the people alive today.