I don't agree with him. I think things will remain highly segmented for many years to come. Mobile devices are far more personal than desktops and there's less

I don't agree with him. I think things will remain highly segmented for many years to come. Mobile devices are far more personal than desktops and there's less chance of a one-size-fits-all solution. I don't see any killer app that is going to make one platform vastly superior to another. It's not like the old days of PCs where you needed a DOS/Windows PC to run your applications and there wasn't much choice to the end user or enterprise user. These days many enterprises are giving their employees a choice of different SmartPhone platforms exactly because there is no one-size-fits all. In the consumer space it's even more of a wild card but the same theory applies. There's simply not enough lock-in to allow one company to become dominant. You can easily jump from an iPhone, to Android, to WM7, and back to iPhone without losing any major functionality. I would agree that Android based platforms will likely be the single biggest player but that's not exactly the same as being a dominant, homogeneous, platform in the style of Windows. We could see the Android handset market evolve (or devolve) into a Symbian-like future where the operating systems share some common DNA but are effectively different platforms. For example Sony's possible PSP phone with games incompatible with other Android phones. You can technically still call it Android but in reality it will be "baed on Android" This is something that was never really possible with Windows. I don't know if we'll be able to group all these Android based platforms together in any meaningful way in the future. The differences between Android Device A and Android Device B might be as meaningful as the difference between iOS and Android.