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You misunderstood my post. I said, there is market for this type of plane, but not for the A380. I was 10 years too early. - Needs other engines - Needs to be
by jayalpha 8y ago
You misunderstood my post. I said, there is market for this type of plane, but not for the A380. I was 10 years too early.
- Needs other engines
- Needs to be lighter
- Needs to be bigger. The wings are build for the long version.
The question is, how much does it cost to bring one (price sensitive) customer to the hub? The A380 was the right idea based on size, but too early and failed on price.
- myrandomcomment 8y agoThere is zero proof of what you are saying, also some down right things that are just plain wrong.
- mixmastamyk 8y agoLonger body, I believe.
- ethagknight 8y agoI think the responses above understand your post, you are just referring to a plane that does not exist, and does not exist in a viable roadmap. A more ideal A380 might work, but Emirates is stuck having to continue buying the current production line, and not the future development. If anything, it sounds like it was 30 years too early.
- Xixi 8y agoI strongly doubt it: larger planes simply don't sell, this is not specific to the A380. Let's look one size below: On Airbus side the second biggest airliner is the A350-1000: very light, top notch engines -> 170 orders so far, very underwhelming, and the project of a bigger A350-2000 has been postponed due to a lack of interest. On Boeing side the 777-9 (not yet flying) has even more modern engines, a super light wing, and besides Emirates nobody is buying it...
- saosebastiao 8y agoFor an aircraft that is not yet flying, the 777-9 has pretty healthy demand from multiple airlines. Lufthansa, Etihad, Qatar, All Nippon, and Singapore have all placed orders. Iran Airlines as well, although nullified by trade embargoes. The bigger 777-10x is also selling well.
- Xixi 8y ago777-8 has 53 sales, and 777-9 has 273 sales, so a total of 326 firm orders. The 777-10 is not for sale, so it's certainly not selling well... 326 firm orders is pretty good, don't get me wrong, but the order book doesn't look super healthy: only 8 airlines, and 46% of the orders for Emirates. With Etihad troubled finances, that might go down to 7 airlines. The order book has depth, but lack breadth. I've often heard the critical size for a widebody is at least 400 sales to 20 airlines. 400 sales to achieve economy of scales, and 20 airlines to have a healthy secondary market. The 777X is not far from the 400 sales, but has some ways to go to find 20 customers. The A330NEO is in a similar but reversed situation: 278 orders for 15 customers (including a couple of lessors). The breadth is nearly there, but not the depth.