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You misunderstood - the user wrote that the improvement probably won't continue due to climate change (which is expected to negatively impact developing countri
by ljcn 8y ago
You misunderstood - the user wrote that the improvement probably won't continue due to climate change (which is expected to negatively impact developing countries more than developed).
- marcus_holmes 8y agothis is the difference between ecologist thinking and economist thinking. economists think in curves - starting from a low base it's very easy to improve fast, but the rate of improvement drops off as it nears the global average. ecologists think in straight lines - the rate of improvement is x/year, so in 50 years the improvement will be 50x and they'll be richer than Sweden, who are only improving at (x/10)/year.
- pas 8y agoWhy would ecologists think in straight lines? Don't they start with the Lotka-Volterra differential equations to model prey-predator population fluctuations? (Even if they learn just the concept, and not the underlying math.) Also, haven't they learn a bit about exponential bloom and decay of algae?
- benj111 8y agoI reread and don't think I have. The parents contention is that climate change will prevent these countries becoming first world/that it will interrupt their growth. I'm saying even without climate change they won't become first world. Certainly not on the timescale suggested. Now I agree, climate change won't help. But the reason CAR isn't (now or in 50 years) a first world country is not down to climate change, its because they don't have any of the myriad things needed to support that type of economy.