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Not really. Even if we triple land use efficiency, population growth will increase the demand to compensate
by kardos 8y ago
Not really. Even if we triple land use efficiency, population growth will increase the demand to compensate
- antris 8y agoPopulation growth has been steadily slowing down since 1960s.
- kardos 8y agoBroadly speaking, that is because we're approaching something like a carrying capacity, estimated to be somewhere around 10B. If we increase land use efficiency dramatically, that effectively raises the carrying capacity and population growth can continue much longer
- antris 8y agoThe population growth decline is not tied to the carrying capacity but to the development of the economy. Countries that are further economically developed have lower birth rates and vice versa. For example Finland is mostly a country of deserted forest, yet it has a very slow growth rate. The country could carry a population of 50 million easily, but is hardly growing anymore at 5 million.
- AnthonyMouse 8y agoNot at current fertility rates. If the current trend continues we're in for a world-wide population decline.
- munk-a 8y agoOther replies addressed the issues with assuming that population growth will continue as-is, but I also wanted to mention that humans are pretty creative so if we did continue to grow we'd likely start doing ecumenopolis things, deepening ocean trenches to concentrate oceans more and increase the usable land area on earth, start seriously considering the moon/mars for terraforming, building more vertically (above and below ground). I don't think the volume of land will ever be an issue for humans, but I think that land will never be equally valued.
- JAlexoid 8y agoIf you increase education, you'll learn that population will not grow that fast.