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I don't think programming productivity gains are coming. I see webassembly terribly fragmenting the frontend skill distribution, not in a good way. I see the

I don't think programming productivity gains are coming. I see webassembly terribly fragmenting the frontend skill distribution, not in a good way. I see the next generation of programmers more populated by tech debt creators and less accepting of mentorship. I see non-volatile storage gains dramatically changing how OSs think about RAM and storage, even to the point that we might see RAM mostly vanish (unless you need volatility, like crypto keys), and machine shutdown/startup becoming instant. As non-volatile storage continues to approach RAM latency, we'll need a new generation of operating systems and probably programming languages too. I see people continuing to overpay for PaaS systems that can't scale, creating software that's ever more difficult to change and tightly coupled to proprietary cloud systems.

folkhack 8y ago
> I see the next generation of programmers more populated by tech debt creators and less accepting of mentorship Yep - even as a youngin' I'm seeing this happen rapidly with tech being the new "hotness" that everyone wants to jump on career-wise. With 6mo bootcamps, Udemy, etc people think you can just jump RIGHT into the industry. And they're right - with the wrong interview panel it's easy for a near zero-experience person to get in the door because so many companies are focused on increasing engineer headcount vs focusing on the quality of their teams. Honestly I've made a _lucrative_ career out of dealing with tech debt that other engineers/teams have left behind due to bludgeoning their way through the process with tools they've only used once.