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> A lot of care was taken in the wording of the last IPCC report to communicate what findings have which level of confidence. The level of confidence is near z
by Zecar 8y ago
> A lot of care was taken in the wording of the last IPCC report to communicate what findings have which level of confidence.
The level of confidence is near zero, and if the IPCC was being honest and unbiased that is what they would say. As I said previously upthread, anybody who claims they can model our climate with any level of accuracy on the order of decades is being completely disingenuous. We can't model weather even a month out. The history of global warming alarmism has nearly a hundred-year long trail of missed predictions. But they have it right this time, right?
- kaybe 8y agoNobody claims accuracy on the timescale of such a high resolution. Aditionally, we don't know about future emissions and land-use changes, and feedback effects, so we cannot predict the exact future. Please check the wikipedia page for what is actually claimed.
- Zecar 8y ago> Please check the wikipedia page for what is actually claimed. You want to point me to a fact you are trying to refute?
- polotics 8y agoWhere did you see written in the report that "The level of confidence is near zero"?
- Zecar 8y agoThe actual level of confidence is near zero, not what is written. Climate scientists can prove it really easily; give a forecast of the weather more than 30 days out. Anybody claiming to be able to predict decades+ of weather should easily be able to do a 30 day forecast.
- polotics 8y agoThat's really low grade logic: models of weather can predict weather, models of climate can predict climate. What don't you understand in this?