Hindsight bias is a thing - people tend to overestimate their ability to have known or predicted something they've found out. This page describes the effect qu

Hindsight bias is a thing - people tend to overestimate their ability to have known or predicted something they've found out. This page describes the effect quite well: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WnheMGAka4fL99eae/hindsight-devalues-science https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WnheMGAka4fL99eae/hindsight-...