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> Baum didn't seem to subscribe to the most common paraphrase of momentum trading, which is to "cut your losses short and let your winners run on" I don't have
by jeffreyrogers 8y ago
> Baum didn't seem to subscribe to the most common paraphrase of momentum trading, which is to "cut your losses short and let your winners run on"
I don't have a source for it that I can find at the moment, but I recently read a paper showing that this advice is actually quite bad and traders perform better when they do the opposite. (They sell losers too early (when they would have recovered) and they sell winners too late (after they've declined)) Of course, prospectively knowing you're selling losers to early or winners to late is hard to do.
- scottlocklin 8y agoSuch a study is practically inevitable. Studies generally need central tendency to be statistically significant. Long trends are kind of by necessity outliers. Both are valid and depend on your modeling and time horizon. But if you can find a simple statistical alpha which has more examples, you're probably better off doing that. Which is why HFT was so profitable.