I just checked and indeed there is research. The most popular model that we all know is called the Gartner Hype Cycle. https://www.gartner.com/en/research/meth

I just checked and indeed there is research. The most popular model that we all know is called the Gartner Hype Cycle. https://www.gartner.com/en/research/methodologies/gartner-hype-cycle https://www.gartner.com/en/research/methodologies/gartner-hy... Arxiv has a few articles on hype cycles for example: "A simple interpretation of the growth of scientific/technological research impact leading to hype-type evolution curves", Campani, 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1410.8685 https://arxiv.org/abs/1410.8685 "Hype Cycle Dynamics: Microscopic Modeling and Detection", Hashemi, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1809.08939 https://arxiv.org/abs/1809.08939 You can also type "gartner hype cycle" in Scholar or sci-hub and there are many hits.