5 ms·
Here is some good news I found today: The Montreal protocol (to ban ozone-layer-destroying gas emissions) works quite well so far and also has implications for
by kaybe 8y ago
Here is some good news I found today:
The Montreal protocol (to ban ozone-layer-destroying gas emissions) works quite well so far and also has implications for climate change:
> As reported in the 2014 Assessment, chemistry–climate models suggest that continued accumulation of ODSs in the atmosphere in the absence of the Montreal Protocol would have led to a collapse of the global ozone layer by the mid-21st century, with devastating environ-mental implications (Newman et al., 2009; Garcia et al., 2012).
> The last Assessment also reported on the additional (mostly unanticipated) benefits of ODS regulations for mitigation of global climate change.
> Specifically, it was reported that by later this century, unregulated ODS increases could have led to global surface temperature increases comparable to tem-perature increases caused by other greenhouse gases (Velders et al., 2007) and could have almost doubled changes in the hydrological cycle (precipitation minus evaporation) over the next few decades.
The newest addition, the Kigali Amendment, phases out some more gases. This also has implications:
> As discussed in Chapter 2, these new studies indicate that the an-ticipated phasedown of HFCs is expected to avoid up to 0.4 K of global mean surface warming by 2100.
(see some plots on page 34)
http://ozone.unep.org/sites/default/files/Assessment_Panel/SAP-2018-Assessment-report.pdf http://ozone.unep.org/sites/default/files/Assessment_Panel/S...
- riffraff 8y agoI _think_ a key difference between the montreal protocol and the paris agreement is that the first meant _banning products_, so a if country X keeps producing something with CFCs and tries to sell it to country Y then the latter can just forbid importing. So individual actors have an economical incentive to be compliant. This does not work for CO2 emissions, we're left to the individual countries' "goodwill".