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That is fascinating. Which one is correct? Is Bayesian using more assumptions than Frequentist, namely the fact that repeated queries that haven't been done yet
by posix_me_less 8y ago
That is fascinating. Which one is correct? Is Bayesian using more assumptions than Frequentist, namely the fact that repeated queries that haven't been done yet will show that the machine's answer is NO most of the time?
- deleted 8y ago[deleted]
- dragonwriter 8y ago> Which one is correct? The Bayesian is correct to offer the bet. Who is correct about the sun exploding actually is irrelevant to that; only the conditional probability of the bet being collectable if the sun has exploded vs. that of it has not exploded is needed here. You would care about the probability that the sun actually had exploded if one of those weren't zero, but it is, so it doesn't matter.