5 ms·
Seems like the article caters for it well enough. In relative proportion it's increasing: "In 1997 this age group accounted for about one in 20 convictions but
by NeedMoreTea 8y ago
Seems like the article caters for it well enough. In relative proportion it's increasing:
"In 1997 this age group accounted for about one in 20 convictions but 20 years later the figure had grown to more than one in five - a rate that far outstrips the growth of the over-65s as a proportion of the population"
- ekianjo 8y agoYou missed the next sentence: > nd like Toshio, many of these elderly lawbreakers are repeat offenders. Of the 2,500 over-65s convicted in 2016, more than a third had more than five previous convictions. Those are not unique offenders. Somebody who commits multiple infractions is counted several times.
- konschubert 8y agoYes, but this is an uncorrelated effect.
- mattmanser 8y agoYes, some of the explanation is an increased population, but it's also clear they're committing more crime than they did. The graph in the article (1990-2016) looks like the proportion of offences committed by pensioners has roughly risen from 3% to 20% (6.6x increase, maybe 5x if it's 4% to 20%), yet the proportion of over 65s (1990-2016) in Japan has risen from 11.9% to 26.6% (a 2.2x increase)[2]. The source of the BBC graph is in Japanese[3], so I can't get exact figures for the crime and papers I found that did have exact figures only went back as far as 2005. [1] https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/B06F/production/_105376154_japan_crime_full_edit-nc.png https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/B06F/production/... [2] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS?locations=JP https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS?locat... [3] http://www.moj.go.jp/housouken/houso_2008_index.html http://www.moj.go.jp/housouken/houso_2008_index.html