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Betting $1 on 26,000 races: Stated win rate betting on the post time favorite is 37% This equates to a loss of 16,380 of original 26,000. Earnings must then
by beezle 8y ago
Betting $1 on 26,000 races:
Stated win rate betting on the post time favorite is 37%
This equates to a loss of 16,380 of original 26,000. Earnings must then come from the 9,620 bet on favorites that won.
Assuming the 55,000 is winnings (and not a total including original 9,620), this would equate to an average odds of better than 11/2. If reduced by the 9,620 then odds come down to a bit over 9/2
My experience in horse racing (regular and harness) is that odds on the favorite of 11/2 (or even 9/2) are extremely rare and certainly not the average. A realistic figure is 3/2 over the various field sizes (smaller fields tend to go close to even money, larger to 2/1 or so).
So yeah, the data as presented appear flawed.