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> Is there a name for this sort of statistical error? Because it's everywhere. Yes. It's called not understanding Bayes' theorem. Bayes' theorem is precisely a
by Kenji 8y ago
> Is there a name for this sort of statistical error? Because it's everywhere.
Yes. It's called not understanding Bayes' theorem. Bayes' theorem is precisely about how the probability of "B, given A" (P[B|A]) relates to the probability of "A, given B" (P[A|B]). In our case, that would be "rich, given love for endurance sports" =/= "love for endurance sports, given rich". It is immediately obvious from Bayes' equation that the two are, in general, not the same.