Isn't this formulation a bit extreme? I understand and agree somewhat with this concept in general terms but maybe not everyone had a reason for addiction, or m

Isn't this formulation a bit extreme? I understand and agree somewhat with this concept in general terms but maybe not everyone had a reason for addiction, or maybe that reason was intrinsically localized in the past, a problem long solved that left the addiction behind. Telling someone that they will surely relapse based on an equally anecdotal assumption looks unjustified to me.