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A lot of observers, especially on HN, worry about the balkanization of video streaming content and see it as hindering Netflix's growth. In my opinion, I don't
by 40acres 8y ago
A lot of observers, especially on HN, worry about the balkanization of video streaming content and see it as hindering Netflix's growth. In my opinion, I don't really see it. When the dust settles I think we'll see Netflix and Amazon as the duopoly of this era of video streaming.
I don't think Disney's streaming service is out to compete with Netflix directly, to me it's more of a play to leverage the Disney brand and ensure they still have a 1:1 relationship with the consumer. Look at it this way, dozens of journalistic outfits have gone by the wayside in the era of Facebook and Google, but the New York Times and Wall Street Journal are not trying to compete by being aggregator platforms like Facebook and Google, instead they are leveraging and monetizing their goodwill and reputation by putting up paywalls, I see Disney doing the same for their content. Also, Disney (smartly) is going to hedge their bets and continue to put new original content on ABC, ABC Family, movie chains, etc. They are not playing the same game as Netflix. The same can be said for Hulu, yes Hulu has more original content -- but at the end of the day Hulu is mainly a channel for the traditional networks to get their hit shows on a streaming platform ASAP from original air date.
As long as Netflix keeps their debt under control, they will continue to grow and have a lot of room to keep raising their prices. Netflix is still drastically cheaper than the cheapest cable bundle, even if you combined a Netflix subscription with Amazon, HBO, Hulu, etc.
- p33p 8y agoBen and James talk about this on their podcast. I'd recommend giving it a listen to see them extrapolate on your thoughts.
- airstrike 8y agoFWIW, Netflix will no longer be able to license Daredevil shows from Marvel / Disney. I think a lot of folks signed up for Netflix to watch that catalog of films and shows specifically, including the latest Avengers and whatnot. I think the more likely scenario is Hulu goes away and we're left with Amazon, Disney/ESPN and Netflix. And HBO, of course.
- cpsempek 8y agoDisney has a large stake in Hulu, due in part to the Fox acquisition. Moreover, Disney+ will focus on kids and family content, they will need Hulu to provide the network TV along with more adult focused content. Per Disney's own admission, Hulu will partner with their streaming service and will likely not go away anytime soon.
- Fripplebubby 8y agoYep, they already own a 30% stake which will become a controlling stake (60%) provided the Fox buy closes.
- bdhess 8y ago> When the dust settles I think we'll see Netflix and Amazon as the duopoly of this era of video streaming. I doubt it. Comcast/NBCU, AT&T/Time Warner, and Disney all have good (and in some cases superior) content and their own distribution paths in place or in the works.