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People want easy answers and discard uncertainty as soon as they get an indication that's stronger than the noise floor. See also: Anyone who (despite the fact
by forgottenpass 8y ago
People want easy answers and discard uncertainty as soon as they get an indication that's stronger than the noise floor.
See also: Anyone who (despite the fact most people understand a 1-in-4 chance perfectly well when handed a 4-sided die) looks at FiveThirtyEight's election predictions as anything more than a fun curiosity.