4 ms·
Yes , sure, thanks for adding this point too. It will be infinite only inside the limitations that were set when formulating the problem. It can not extrapolat
by paradoxparalax 8y ago
Yes , sure, thanks for adding this point too. It will be infinite only inside the limitations that were set when formulating the problem.
It can not extrapolate out of the limitations only because something inside it is infinite. But this I knew before, it is pretty obvious, off course, at least for me, and what you say explain the number 3 analogy in the parent comment I was replying to, I see now, and the reason I found the analogy weak is that this was already obvious.
And thanks for confirming that "...(0 for either, being a possibility).." That was the important bit for me.
Also, the chances of getting a Head in 10 flips is bigger then the chances of getting a Head with only 2 flips. So if we got 10 Heads already, every time we get another Head, it may decrease in some way the chance of getting another Head next flip, But the Curve of Decrease in the chances of getting a head again will approaching zero forever...
...(no, this may be wrong, theoretically, every time you flip the coin the chance is always 50%) , but the overall(infinite) curve's line will never touch the zero line.
this probably wrong somewhere, that is why people go broke trying to do the "double the bet" by playing always on the black or always on the red on the roulette at the casino, always doubling the bet when they loose some shot.
This is paradoxal and confusing for me and is the reason I stopped jumping from 15, 20 meter high rocks into the sea. I thought the chances of something going wrong (solely because of the Law of Probabilities, not counting ageing and other factors) will Increase overall, and someday I was going to get hurt.
- adrianN 8y agoEvery sequence of coin flips has the same probability. The coin doesn't know that you have seen ten heads already.
- paradoxparalax 8y agoYes, thats what I thought...but also the chances of getting a head in 10 shots is bigger then getting a head in 2 shots, otherwise playing only once in your life at lottery would be the same as playing everyday, but the financial cost is measured by unit, I mean, the price is by single ticket. Or I am wrong here all again and this is where I was wrong? Sorry you maybe you made your comment before some edit I made, But I am grateful you have pointed out this, Thank You.
- paradoxparalax 8y agoSo, the Coin doesn't know that the last shot was a Head, Or the last 10 shots were all Head, and 0 Tails sofa, but....... Someone knows...call it Math, call it God, call it The Universe, my friend, someone knows.
- hutzlibu 8y ago(except that in real life your hand flipping the coin knows that and can and will act differently. With practice you can influence consciously the outcome of the flip)