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> Perhaps, but when it's industry-wide it's often a good leading indicator. As far as I'm aware, employment data is considered a lagging indicator [0], as labo
by nickles 8y ago
> Perhaps, but when it's industry-wide it's often a good leading indicator.
As far as I'm aware, employment data is considered a lagging indicator [0], as labor tends to be reasonably sticky.
> These are companies whose management is in very close personal contact with the capital markets, and so often make decisions very quickly in response to what's going on there.
I was fishing for other data, in part, because current data does not support the assertion that layoffs have accelerated [1][2]. In fact, initial claims data appears to be at -- or close to -- historical lows.
[0] https://www.thebalance.com/lagging-economic-indicators-list-index-and-top-3-3305860 https://www.thebalance.com/lagging-economic-indicators-list-...
[1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ICSA https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ICSA
[2] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IC4WSA https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IC4WSA