5 ms·
Only about 15% of the deficit is from the tax cuts, the rest is over-spending.
by mobilefriendly 8y ago
Only about 15% of the deficit is from the tax cuts, the rest is over-spending.
- onlyrealcuzzo 8y ago100% of the deficit is from over-spending or from under-taxing depending on how you look at it...
- maximente 8y agotwo months into fiscal FY2019, medicare had taken in $34B and spent $129B fiscal FY2019 CMMS spent $270B - a 24% increase YOY therefore, it seems disingenuous to equate taxation with spending, there's just no way to arithmetically catch up. edit: accidentally put medicaid instead of CMMS
- gisely 8y agoWhat do you mean arithmetically? Simply increasing taxes to without attempting to reduce spending growth might not be a good long term strategy, but it not like the laws of arithmetic prevent it. Whether we could raise tax revenue 24% is different question than whether we should.
- briandear 8y agoIf you taxed at 100% and still had a deficit, then yes, it’s arithmetically inpossible. With higher taxes past a certain point revenue decreases, per the Laffler Curve.
- patrickthebold 8y agoWell sure, but we are nowhere near there. The 2018 deficit was less than 4% of gdp. https://www.usgovernmentdebt.us/federal_deficit_percent_gdp https://www.usgovernmentdebt.us/federal_deficit_percent_gdp The Laffer curve is not interesting when you are way on the left side of it.
- brain5ide 8y agoThat 4% is very deceptive. It gives the impression, that there is some room to stretch it. But is there? I mean, you're talking 4% of a situation where 100% is total heat death of all the participants in the economy. Where any amount gained in the system goes towards the deficit. This is bonkers.
- lmm 8y agoOur ancestors would probably think that an economy that spends 97% of GDP on things unrelated to food production is bonkers, but here we are. If high government debt was decreasing economic participation that would be cause for concern. But is there any reason to believe it is? Japan is running a much higher debt-to-GDP ratio and while people are (probably rightly) worried, the fact that nothing catastrophic has happened there yet suggests that there's at least that much slack available.
- flomble 8y agoIt's confusing to use the hypothetical of 100% in one sentence and in the next acknowledge that the optimal rate of taxation for maximising revenues is not at 100%. The question is whether tax revenues could be raised by raising tax rates to the point that revenues exceeded current expenditure. Whether or not that is possible is uncertain.
- rtpg 8y agoI mean it's still $150 billion a year? Hell, even if the only work is corporate debt that could have gone into reducing the deficit directly? If you're worried about overspending it seems weird to try and reduce the spending by.... reducing receipts. Just reduce spending!