The easiest argument against your second point is precisely because we don't expect to find it. Frequently if findings disagree very strongly with our preconce

The easiest argument against your second point is precisely because we don't expect to find it. Frequently if findings disagree very strongly with our preconceptions (as one like this would), we are likely to dismiss them, not notice them, and/or chalk it up to some kind of error. Not to say that I believe these results will hold up, I'm pretty sure they won't.