> really think they should get more training in it, or some type of Bayes-esque tool They have those online. If you're in your 30s and have a reasonably health

> really think they should get more training in it, or some type of Bayes-esque tool They have those online. If you're in your 30s and have a reasonably healthy lifestyle and don't smoke, then your risk of dying from a cardiac event over a ten year period is likely somewhere between 0.25% and 0.5%, depending on how much you exercise and genetic factors. If anything, Bayesian logic is what leads doctors to ignore signs of heart attacks in young people in the first place.