This line of thinking is rather dangerous when determining whether to lock someone up for life. Especially in the absence of direct evidence. The math is often

This line of thinking is rather dangerous when determining whether to lock someone up for life. Especially in the absence of direct evidence. The math is often tricky, given that we already know some highly unlikely things have in fact occurred (a murder, for one). https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prosecutor%27s_fallacy https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prosecutor%27s_fallacy