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More recently was Fukushima. Interviewed engineers all recited the same failure probabilities, and every couple of days more "highly unlikely" events kept happe
by wahern 8y ago
More recently was Fukushima. Interviewed engineers all recited the same failure probabilities, and every couple of days more "highly unlikely" events kept happening--explosions, power outages, cooling outages, partial meltdowns, full meltdowns, containment failures. Their confidence in the risk calculations was disturbing, especially because they failed to revise their priors after each new event!
I don't mean to exaggerate the events. It was a shame nuclear energy suffered such a severe blow. But not as shameful as that parade of engineers who remained stubbornly committed to the consensus risk analysis as events unfolded (and seemingly remain so to this day).
- walrus01 8y agoIt does not take a rocket scientist to say that diesel generators should not be located at ground level, at the ocean side, in a tsunami prone area. Fukushima would have been ok if they'd been able to get diesel power up to run cooling pumps.