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It's possible Labor will take over if May loses her confidence vote. But Corbyn's current position has been that he'd pursue Brexit with unicorn promises, rathe
by ddebernardy 8y ago
It's possible Labor will take over if May loses her confidence vote. But Corbyn's current position has been that he'd pursue Brexit with unicorn promises, rather than cancel the whole thing like his constituents want him to do. So it's doubtful that Labor would revoke article 50.
Just spitballing here... Methinks May will win her confidence vote tomorrow. From there, the consensus seems to be to steer towards a peoples' vote -- aka a new referendum -- in spite of May being hostile to that idea. But don't rule out some back and forth with the EU. May has a long way to go to win a rerun of this vote, but if her premiership is anything to go by she's resilient, and the GBP lost around 10% against the USD and EUR within minutes of the Commons vote. (Edit: the GDP seems to have bounced back since.)
As an aside, I'm no fan of May, and the referendum campaign was full of lies and manipulation, but methinks May actually has merit in raising that a peoples' vote would not be good for the legitimacy of and trust in politicians and institutions. After all, what's the point of organizing a referendum and then electing representatives that don't deliver. And what's the point of organizing referendums if the powers that be will continue to ask the question again and again until constituents give the expected answer?
- atombender 8y agoGoing through with Brexit will as damaging to elected representatives as canceling it. People have already lost faith in elected representatives. I don't think anyone is going to come out of this unscathed. The referendum uncovered a fault line in the nation — in the world, really — that needs to be processed. The wave of "yes" votes for Brexit mirror the features of the Trump election — anti-globalization, anti-intellectualism, anti-politics. Whether or not Brexit happens, the biggest problem the UK faces might be that it's opened the door to nationalist, reactionary, populist (in the modern sense), authoritarian forces of the same kind we're now seeing in Poland, Hungary, Italy, Brazil and other places.
- tomp 8y agoYou can be anti-globalization and intellectual.
- atombender 8y agoSure, but that was not my point.