3 ms·
The betting odds show an 83% likelihood that the U.K. remains somehow after 3/29. There is a 40% chance of another general election this year (15% in 2020 and j
by ttul 8y ago
The betting odds show an 83% likelihood that the U.K. remains somehow after 3/29. There is a 40% chance of another general election this year (15% in 2020 and just 13% in 2021).
I’d say odds are the confidence vote fails tomorrow and a general election is called, with a motion to extend article 50 until the election is held giving the people a chance to speak, albeit not via a referendum.
Another referendum is not going to happen. Labour wants tories to hang themselves through the utter failure of Brexit. A referendum risks another Brexit approval or worse and gives the tories political cover for the whole mess.
- OscarCunningham 8y agoWhy would May call an election if the confidence vote fails?
- RugnirViking 8y agoWe could almost see the incredible position of an election neither party particularly wants to win.