Well put. I think the moment of "?R takeoff" is when the first person manages to wear a consumer grade standalone VR headset for most of their day using passthr

Well put. I think the moment of "?R takeoff" is when the first person manages to wear a consumer grade standalone VR headset for most of their day using passthrough. It will probably be an experience for nobody but those with the most hardened stomachs, but it will be an existence proof that you can then build software that can assume you have a raster buffer between your retinas and the incident world photons throughout your day that is 'full-cover' (ie every incident photon to your eyes is software proxied and modulated optionally by world photon sensor information via code, not physical properties like transparent glass.) That is basically the "final visual platform" for compute imho. Transparent AR glasses, if anything, are clearly a transitionary technology since they do not provide full software control over photon delivery to the eyes. (Also, I expect this event to happen quietly and unrecognized in late 2019 probably buried in a forum thread somewhere.) From there, it will just take the hacker community to build apps that provide some type of 10x augmentation by a fully software-proxied visual system and a little bit of cultural normalization of it (probably within circles of teens/kids) to incentivize the acceleration of development of passthrough visor hardware that works better, is smaller, and has longer lasting batteries. But these will be mostly linear engineering problems, except perhaps the frame prediction algorithms needed to deal with camera sensor latency. Whereas the path to a set of AR glasses that mask out the world with full FoV seems a much more theoretical future that stretches the limits of known physics, this seems to be imminently becoming the problem of arranging bits not atoms with the arrival of fairly capable consumer standalone VR headsets with workable passthrough cameras. If you think about it hard enough, if you woke up in 5 years and there was a market with good AR glasses and good VR goggles, but nobody tied the software together to enable all-day VR goggle wear via passthrough, clearly someone would do it and suddenly those devices are insanely more capable than the AR glass equivalent since they can take over your entire visual field and deliver all the same applications of the glasses. So it seems pretty inductive to me, if you buy into a few fairly simple assumptions, that this is our future, assuming that a software-proxied visual system can deliver value to daily life. The only counter argument (and in fact, one of the admitted theses for many people working on AR glasses) is that wearing a VR visor all day will make you look silly -- sometimes that's enough to tip things over for quite a while, but in the limit people are going to converge on what improves their life the most on net. (See: the segway has finally had it's day with the arrival of cheap electric scooters.) Full-cover, rasterized vision seems to be the end game for how our visual system will interface with software systems.