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So, lets map the potential outcomes for commercial supersonic flight: 1. Boom (or some other startup) will deliver by 2025. 2. Boom (or some other startup) wi
by ronilan 8y ago
So, lets map the potential outcomes for commercial supersonic flight:
1. Boom (or some other startup) will deliver by 2025.
2. Boom (or some other startup) will deliver, but later.
3. Boeing (or Airbus) will deliver later.
4. No renewed supersonic commercial flights in our lifetime.
I understand you say 1 is impossible. But is 2 out of the question? is 3 more likely that 4? is 3 more likely than 2?
I don't know enough about Boom and supersonic flight, but I personally don't subscribe to the idea that tomorrow is entirely in the hands of today's established institutions.
- ryanwaggoner 8y agoMost likely scenario is that they either outright fail and fold, or they “succeed” but only by mid-2030s and after at least one bankruptcy. This is a terrible investment.
- FiveSquared25 8y agoThey at least are trying and are inspired competition
- wbl 8y agoThere was supersonic scheduled commercial flight in my lifetime.
- notahacker 8y agoThere are commercial reasons for Boeing/Airbus to delay (3) even if the economics for supersonic flight were optimistic, though that didn't stop them rolling dice on the A380/787 as well as plenty of skunkworks projects. Trouble for Boom is that promising (1) might make raising the capital for (2) more difficult. And also the big risk they deliver (2) which is known to be possible and don't sell enough aircraft to recover their costs.