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This is a straw man too. We don’t flip a switch and suddenly all cars are driverless, and then we discover that they can’t handle all situations and everyone di
by b_tterc_p 8y ago
This is a straw man too. We don’t flip a switch and suddenly all cars are driverless, and then we discover that they can’t handle all situations and everyone dies. We slowly scale it out to environments where it is provably safe. We will not see “top causes of self driving car accidents” because known conditions will merit additional development or restriction on usage. What kind of thing could conceivably make that list? Something like snow doesn’t fit, because they won’t run in the snow unless they’re safe to run in the snow.
You don’t need to be better than humans for all situations. You need to be safe. Humans are generally well above that threshold, except for when they’re drunk, high, tired, distracted, or otherwise stupid. It doesn’t really make sense to compare deaths per mile for cars vs attentive humans in stable conditions. Both can honestly be reduced to the point at which they’re practically 0 unless it’s the victim’s fault. We do need to be attentive to edge cases that cause cars not to be safe, but we can also observe the overall pattern and draw conclusions on how likely unknown edge cases are to be encountered.