If you’re interested in predicting the future read Philip Tetlock’s Superforecasting. In general people don’t make precise predictions to be right or wrong. Re

If you’re interested in predicting the future read Philip Tetlock’s Superforecasting. In general people don’t make precise predictions to be right or wrong. Review https://www.econlib.org/archives/2015/10/superforecastin.html https://www.econlib.org/archives/2015/10/superforecastin.htm... https://www.econlib.org/archives/2015/10/outside_first.html https://www.econlib.org/archives/2015/10/outside_first.html Superforecasting on Amazon https://www.amazon.com/gp/aw/d/0771070527/ref=cm_cr_arp_mb_bdcrb_top?ie=UTF8 https://www.amazon.com/gp/aw/d/0771070527/ref=cm_cr_arp_mb_b... Tetlock’s Wikipedia page https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philip_E._Tetlock https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philip_E._Tetlock Econtalk interview podcast with Tetlock https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/econtalk/id135066958 https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/econtalk/id135066958