This seems to match my napkin calculation of this prediction being off by around a factor of 10^5 (~100.000 processors being needed to match it). Although in th

This seems to match my napkin calculation of this prediction being off by around a factor of 10^5 (~100.000 processors being needed to match it). Although in the grand scheme of these predictions that's probably not too way off what it probably shows well is that the exponential curve Moore's law had given us is definitely not holding anymore. Since Kurzweil had used it or something similar to extrapolate his numbers this seems to bring into question the whole premise of the singularity prediction.