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To estimate how much each of these companies are worth on Jan. 1st 2020, you'd need to wait until each of them raise their next round after that date or have a
by Alex3917 8y ago
To estimate how much each of these companies are worth on Jan. 1st 2020, you'd need to wait until each of them raise their next round after that date or have a liquidity event and then do some kind of regression. I'd say he's on track to win based on this, or at the least even if he loses on a technicality he'll have come incredibly close.
- rreichman 8y agoI think the bet was agreed to be settled on public information published before Jan 1 2020
- benj111 8y agoUnless theres a crash. Be careful not to conflate winning the bet and being right. The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent, and all that. Having said that the stuff that was being said round about then, he has some balls to offer the bet. The contrarian in me notes that the unicorn fears seems to have disappeared. Perhaps now is the time to worry?