There's little doubt that electric cars will displace ICE cars in an S curve fashion. First because it's just a much better technology, second because it's che

There's little doubt that electric cars will displace ICE cars in an S curve fashion. First because it's just a much better technology, second because it's cheaper and third because it's low carbon. The same is likely true for trucks of all familiar kinds. It's less clear that the same holds for shipping and air travel. Air travel for flights under 400 miles (due to much reduced maintenance costs) are likely to electrify but the others would probably require the push of regulation. Heat and air conditioning will very possibly electrify only because the combined costs of wind and solar have been dropping so consistently. On balance, it really doesn't look half bad for S curve substitution for, say, 80% of the fossil fuel industry over the next 20 years. EDIT: a few typos