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As I wrote near the top of my comment, I already laugh at myself for falsely predicting AlphaGo/AlphaZero dominance by a decade, give or take. But the leap from
by mindgam3 8y ago
As I wrote near the top of my comment, I already laugh at myself for falsely predicting AlphaGo/AlphaZero dominance by a decade, give or take. But the leap from where we are now to AGI is several orders of magnitude more complicated, at least, than the leap from Chess to Go.
- taneq 8y agoI think the issue here is that we started with "traditional" AI (logic solvers, inductive reasoning, graph search etc.) which were very clearly constrained and single-purpose. The goal has always been AGI which is all-singing-all-dancing post-Singularity magic. Now we have taken another couple of steps along the path from AI to AGI, we're gonna need another term for AI which can be applied to a range of tasks without significant further human intervention, but doesn't have the implied general reasoning and perception that our magic AGI will eventually have. In spaceship terms, what we had was Soyuz and what we wanted was the Enterprise. Now we're about to get a BFR / BFS which can go to Mars and back. Is that a 'real' spaceship?