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Actually, if someone wouldn't commit a sexual crime, they're not going to do it drunk. Only 30% of reported rapes and sexual assaults involve alcohol use on the

Actually, if someone wouldn't commit a sexual crime, they're not going to do it drunk. Only 30% of reported rapes and sexual assaults involve alcohol use on the part of the offender. (Keep in mind that this is reported rapes and sexual assaults; sexual crimes are extremely unreported.) The Center for Sex Offender Management quotes a 1998 Greenfield study when it says that "[a]lcohol use, therefore, may increase the likelihood that someone already predisposed to commit a sexual assault will act upon those impulses. However, excessive alcohol use is not a primary precipitant to sexual assaults." Note: These numbers are from 2000, unfortunately. However, there has not been a dramatic change in the last decade.

usaar333 16y ago
How often is someone drunk? 30% is absolutely huge conditionally.
- pyre 16y ago
  Really? There is going to be some correlation between the times that people are most likely to commit sexual assaults and the times that people are likely to be drinking. I'm sure people spend a lot of time doing things like commuting to work or sleeping at night, but it's highly unlikely that they will commit sexual assaults during those times. People are just more likely to be drinking at times when they are looking for sex (e.g. at a party, at a bar, etc). You should probably be following something like the following line of reasoning: 1. How many sexual assaults happen on dates? 2. How prevalent is drinking while on a date? (Maybe you'll have to divide the data up regionally or something for it to make sense) 3. How many sexual assaults happen when there was drinking on a date? Then you can start to look at how likely it is that alcohol is really the cause of sexual assault (at least for the dataset that you're looking at).
cperciva 16y ago
Actually, if someone wouldn't commit a sexual crime, they're not going to do it drunk. Only 30% of reported rapes and sexual assaults involve alcohol use on the part of the offender. (Keep in mind that this is reported rapes and sexual assaults; sexual crimes are extremely unreported.) The underreporting is not uniform, though. I wouldn't be surprised if intoxicated victims are less likely to report than sober victims; and the sobriety of victims and assailants is highly correlated.

usaar333 16y ago

How often is someone drunk? 30% is absolutely huge conditionally.

pyre 16y ago
Really? There is going to be some correlation between the times that people are most likely to commit sexual assaults and the times that people are likely to be drinking. I'm sure people spend a lot of time doing things like commuting to work or sleeping at night, but it's highly unlikely that they will commit sexual assaults during those times. People are just more likely to be drinking at times when they are looking for sex (e.g. at a party, at a bar, etc). You should probably be following something like the following line of reasoning: 1. How many sexual assaults happen on dates? 2. How prevalent is drinking while on a date? (Maybe you'll have to divide the data up regionally or something for it to make sense) 3. How many sexual assaults happen when there was drinking on a date? Then you can start to look at how likely it is that alcohol is really the cause of sexual assault (at least for the dataset that you're looking at).

cperciva 16y ago