3 ms·
The good news is that these tools exist but they're called statistics.
by RA_Fisher 8y ago
The good news is that these tools exist but they're called statistics.
- bumby 8y agoStatistics applied to black-box component mishaps have a couple things going against them. 1) you need a relatively large number of failures to build a good sample of data and 2) even if you have the probabilities in place to quantify risk, you may never understand the root cause of the failure to fix or mitigate it. For a large expensive system, the presence of either of the above may be unacceptable. Take something like the space shuttle program. If it was heavily reliant on black box AI, you might be able to build probabilities through tools like monte carlo simulations but you would be hard pressed for the government to put billions of dollars at risk without understanding the root cause of simulation failures