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Nate Silver analyzes their recent predictions against actual outcomes here: How FiveThirtyEight’s 2018 Midterm Forecasts Did, https://fivethirtyeight.com/featur

• ThrowMeDown01 8y ago
  So, and now go back and read what I wrote until you understand it. There is no point to this whole thing (apart from creating clicks for the attention industry). It has no impact (again apart from creating clicks). There is no outcome that hinges on anything. They can claim whatever, whether they are right or wrong matters for absolutely nothing. The creation of attention and clicks is completely independent - it happens before the "forecast" event. Great business where outcomes don't matter.
• ThrowMeDown01 8y ago
  So, and now go back and read what I wrote until you understand it. My hopes are low though, but you can at least give it your best effort, even if the result is underwhelming.
  • dang 8y ago
    Personal attacks will get you banned here. Please review https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and don't post anything like this, or https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18714287 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18714287, to HN again.